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WholeLottaHokie

Joined: 01/01/2005 Posts: 623
Likes: 452

What's this?

Silver has said that you shouldn't use his models as binary


win or lose predictors. He's giving probabilities, and a 30 or 40% chance in his model should be taken as very significant.

As Sam Harris said, roll some dice and see how often a combination with a 20% chance of occurring comes up. It's not infrequent.
[Post edited by WholeLottaHokie at 03/13/2017 2:46PM]

(In response to this post by MPAHokie)

Posted: 03/13/2017 at 2:46PM


+1

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