We are ahead of NC State at this point as far as record, not to mention we travel better anyway.

The one place where it gets dicey is if ND loses to Stanford. At 9-3, it's plausible that ND could fall out of the NY6 (I still think they make it). Should they fall out, they'll get the first non-NY6 bowl the ACC has. If that's not the Citrus, then they'll take the Camping World Bowl, relegating us to Tier 1 and probably the Music City or Gator IMO.

Should we lose to UVA though, things get dicey. We'll still be in Tier 1, but I could see us getting put out in El Paso or up in NYC since I'm not sure how attractive a team coming off of losses in three of its last four would be.