IMO, they almost certainly go NY6 IMO. Things get dicey if they lose to Stanford. If they're 10-2, they're in the NY6 (and they deserve it). Even at 9-3, I think they'll get in (but won't necessarily deserve it.. though two of their three losses could end being to playoff teams).

Yes, if ND does drop out of the NY6 AND we don't end up with the Citrus in our lineup, then we'll be relegated to Tier 1, even at 9-3.

IMO, there's about a 30% chance Stanford pulls off the upset over ND. Then, there's about a 30% chance that ND falls out of the NY6 in that scenario. From there, it's about 50/50 whether the Citrus is in our lineup (maybe even better than that... since the Big 10 will still get two in the NY6).

Let's just say that if we beat UVA, the odds of us making it to Orlando stand around 95%

[Post edited by VTECHFAN at 11/21/2017 10:59PM]