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Question for any statisticians out there

I'm curious what the odds of any one song starting to play at any point in time are. Just super rough is fine. For example, you go out to a restaurant for dinner that plays music from a local radio station, and just as you open the door to go in Maneater by Hall & Oates starts playing. What were the odds of that happening?

Certainly I think you need to know how often that particular radio station plays that particular song on any given day so let's just make up something realistic for that. Let's say this particular station plays Maneater once a day.

So for every second of the day there is one in 86,400 chances that Maneater will start to play. Is that it? 1 in 86,400?

Or do you need to factor in any song could have been playing at the precise second you walked into the restaurant? And if so, how? And are there other variables to be factored in?

[Post edited by Diehard Hokie at 02/26/2018 4:43PM]

Posted: 02/26/2018 at 4:41PM

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Current Thread:

Question for any statisticians out there -- Diehard Hokie 02/26/2018 4:41PM

Same Diehard Hokie from the old AOL sportsboard days? ** -- AZHokie59 02/26/2018 10:07PM

Afraid not ** -- Diehard Hokie 02/27/2018 09:03AM

Thanks, just looked it up. He spelled it DiHrd Hokie. ** -- AZHokie59 02/27/2018 10:56AM

We had a great group back then... ** -- EDGEMAN 02/26/2018 10:20PM

Really did and most posters were on a first name basis. Made a closer & -- AZHokie59 02/26/2018 10:25PM

^^^ Best user name ever ^^^ ** -- Brown Water 02/26/2018 8:27PM

If you're going to include Sirius XM -- TheNuke 02/26/2018 8:07PM

0% Radio stations never have the mixer/audio turned up when a song starts -- RichwebHokie 02/26/2018 7:42PM

"Starting to play"... -- SteveInBaltimore 02/26/2018 5:26PM

My wild ass guess would be...... -- DonHo-kieHi 02/26/2018 5:24PM

Odds are 50-50. The song is either playing, or it isn't. ** -- Hokie360 02/26/2018 5:22PM

I'm no statistician, but this seems very difficult to quantify. -- MP4VT2004 02/26/2018 5:19PM

So you are saying there is a chance -- Cal Naughton Jr 02/26/2018 6:58PM

Song by Shai, 1992 -- HWA 02/26/2018 5:17PM

Zero... -- No1Hokie 02/26/2018 5:09PM

100% - It was playing, wasn't it? ** -- TomTurkey 02/26/2018 5:06PM

Infinitesimally small.... -- Freddyburg Hokie 02/26/2018 4:43PM