Even in a best case scenario, Blackshear is a very good post player. But then what? Everyone else is unproven or unspectacular. I think Nolley will be pretty good. Bede will be improved, but no J-Rob. Wilkins is a role player. Horne is similar... A role player. Harris is a complete unknown, especially after his knee injury... Best case though, he's on par with a young J-Rob.

That roster MIGHT make the NIT. UVA will be dancing... Even if all four potential departees go (and Guy and Diakite will be back IMO).