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jonnyhawk

Joined: 01/10/2012 Posts: 2971
Likes: 4656


Justification behind VT prediction of perfect 12-0 perfect season


Allow me to explain.

My original position of 11-1 was based on strong confidence in the ability of the staff in the areas of player development and cultural stabilization of the current players, new players joining, and performance of last seasons players and of players coming into the team.

It was more of a general prediction that was a reflection of a general sense of the program and where it was headed with consideration that we might lose one game unexpectedly, based on general odds and previous team let downs. This lead to a 11-1 regular season prediction.

However, I have had time now to review more data and consider a few more variables and factor in more data on opposing teams, which now leads me to the inevitable conclusion that Virginia Tech is about to embark on it's first undefeated 12 game season in history.

Now let me explain my position further for doubters that assume i have no merit to my position.
Let's start with the games MOST people consider a strong VT team to easily win.

Liberty, Middle Tennesse, North Alabama
Hopefully we can all agree VT should win these games without any problem.
Result: VT Record: 3-0

Then we have the middle of the pack ACC games.
Georgia Tech - New coach / new system / New players / less talent (WIN)
Boston College - Brand new coaching staff (WIN)
Pittsburgh - Previous game (28-0) > lose 14 seniors (WIN)
Duke - Revenge - 15 seniors > violent (WIN)
Virginia - Revenge - 13 Seniors / No Perkins > Extremely Violent with aggrevated aggression (WIN)
Result: VT Record: 8-0

So here we can hopefully agree VT has a strong chance to be 8-0 through these games.
So Most Hokies that disagree with my positive position, are talking about the remaining 4 games. So here they are in order by perceived difficulty.

Louisville - Losing 23 players from 2019 season (VT win)
Miami - Program instability - 13 players graduate - new offensive coordinator (VT wins again)
North Carolina - 16 Players Graduate - Lost to VT last season- (VT wins again!)
Penn State - 12 players graduate / New off Coordinator / coaches - (VT wins)

I think VT has a significant advantage over these 4 teams in terms of
A. returning experience and upside cieling over last season
B. Offensive staff stability
C. Quarterback experience / talent
D. Returning talent on Defense.
E. Program momentum

For these reasons, I see all 4 games as VT wins.
And that brings VT it's first 12 game perfect season!!

Yes some will argue that VT has it's share of coaching changes, but the nucleus of VT's Offensive staff is intact to allow full progress from 2019 to 2020 to take the next step as a top offensive team.
The majority of changes are occuring on the defensive side for VT, which with the talent returning and new talent coming in, should be able to take a step forward due to the majority of the defense being a year older with a year or more of experience.

Defensive coaching changes are easier to mask if your players are experienced than offensive and offensive scheming changes, which take in factors like player compatability, timing, and reps to perfect.

That being said.
Thats right!! VT goes 12-0 in 2020 under Fuente!!

Go Hokies!
Go Fuente, let's rise VT out of the Ashes.
The Turkey's Stampede in September!
[Post edited by jonnyhawk at 02/24/2020 1:55PM]

Posted: 02/24/2020 at 11:22AM



+12

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