Nothing is easy, this is very tough but here goes;
We have 6 home, 6 road left. I’m counting 2 roadies (UVA/Duke) as Ls

6 home;
Must win 2 of 4 of (UNC, Duke, UofL, Clemson); that’s 2 HIGH RPI Ws
Must win: Miami, NCSU (lose one of these, wed have to win 3/4 above)

6 road - Ls to UVA/Duke
2-2 vs ND, BC, GT, Miami

6 Ws puts us 8-10, 19-12. We’d then need 1-2 in ACCT and hope for Dayton. 7 Ws we’re in 8-11 seed range, just due to the number of quality wins we’d have accumulated just to get to 20 Ws

We’re not done, but we’re in a big hole