According to Massey, we have a 10.45% chance of going exactly 2-1...

...over the next 3 games, and a 0.45% chance of going 3-0.

So, yeah, taking 2-1 sight unseen would be a good idea. It's pretty unlikely to happen (~9:1 odds against) and going 3-0 would be almost impossible (~200:1 odds against). So you take the 2-1.

For completeness, we are 54.75% to go 1-2 and 34.35% to go 0-3. In other words, danger lies ahead. Obviously.

(In response to this post by Hokie Chief)

Posted: 02/08/2018 at 6:59PM

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According to Massey, we have a 10.45% chance of going exactly 2-1...

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