If we win tonight, odds of making tourney are at least 80% imo.
if we lose, the odds drop below 40%. We need two wins to make the tourney imo. Louisville is a tough matchup (see Deng Adel) even at home, Duke is too good for us this year too, and @Miami doesn't look good. We need to win one of our next four at least, and another in the tourney minimum. That means Clemson is our mark.
I wish I had faith that the committee will ignore the RPI, the mother of all cartoon metrics, but I don't think we can trust them. We are a 50s RPI team now and need to get into the 40s to feel good. [Post edited by lawhokie at 02/21/2018 09:53AM]
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Posted: 02/21/2018 at 09:53AM