… suspicion is that the flu epidemics (though they can generate some high numbers) spread themselves out more over the length of a flu season. I think what hospital planners are fearing is the math of a much more compressed density of cases. I think the stats/numbers guys will be more help on this sort of question.

I also think the real question might be: what is the incidence of ARDS-type cases/endgames in the COVID-19 patient population versus the typical flu patient population. I mean there's ICU cases, and then there's ugly, time-consuming ICU cases that suck up more staff, drugs, and equipment.

These days I work in the bone marrow transplant clinic, but I'm still ICU-capable and ACLS certified. I hope I get to stay in the clinic and keep taking care of my folks. So far that looks like the case -- but that could change.