No way to know since we don't know how many recovered...

...and were never tested. That's where the antibody tests would be huge. If you could test the majority of the population to see if they've already been exposed and recovered, you could "set free" a bunch of people.

However, I heard something concerning on the radio this morning. I don't remember the source, but someone said there is concern that immunity to this virus won't last a lifetime and will instead only be seasonal. My heart sank when I heard that, because if that's truethe vaccine better be ready soon, or we are all screwed.
[Post edited by MP4VT2004 at 04/03/2020 3:03PM]

In response to this post by HokieForever

Posted: 04/03/2020 at 3:02PM

BTW ive been tracking the model closely vs actual in New York. To be kind -- ColoVT82 04/03/2020 2:51PM

Which model? This is interesting. Death rate increasing though ** -- WestyHokie 04/03/2020 4:01PM

The u of Wash/IHME one, the "go to" in usa. link inside -- ColoVT82 04/03/2020 4:36PM

Cuomo is gonna KICK YOUR ASS! And don't take his boat! ** -- 48zip 04/03/2020 3:51PM

Laffs ** -- ColoVT82 04/03/2020 4:37PM

No kidding. None of the models out there, repeat none, are worth the -- 133743Hokie 04/03/2020 3:18PM

Righto. The owners need to tweak parameters. Predict msg change nxt wk ** -- ColoVT82 04/03/2020 3:28PM

Do you have any data on what herd immunity % we are currently -- HokieForever 04/03/2020 2:54PM

Some states in Europe tried that. They chose...poorly ** -- BlacksburgHokie 04/03/2020 4:15PM

Math doesnt care ** -- ColoVT82 04/03/2020 4:38PM

Wonder if that's what's happening in California? -- EDGEMAN 04/03/2020 3:11PM

Maybe due to tons and tons of peeps living in confined spaces and like -- IB4TECH 04/03/2020 3:35PM

Dunno. Test a random sample. Easy peazy. ** -- ColoVT82 04/03/2020 3:31PM

Big part of that might be as simple as subways vs cars for daily transport ** -- 81_Hokie 04/03/2020 3:31PM

Yeah would be interesting to know. ** -- HokieForever 04/03/2020 3:13PM

I can only bracket it. Take 2 assumptions on 1st infection here. One in -- ColoVT82 04/03/2020 3:04PM

No way to know since we don't know how many recovered... -- MP4VT2004 04/03/2020 3:02PM

Bigger problem...how do you go about testing majority of population... -- vthokieq 04/03/2020 3:15PM

Need a take at home kit that can be mailed... -- RUHokie 04/03/2020 6:05PM

I totally agree. -- MP4VT2004 04/03/2020 3:44PM

Get jehovah's witnesses to go door to door with test kits and literature? ** -- 81_Hokie 04/03/2020 3:32PM

I laffed, good on ya fellow survivor of 5hr calc w/dr W ** -- ColoVT82 04/03/2020 3:43PM

BUT....while drinking grain alcohol? I lived in Major Bill. Grape Soda -- 48zip 04/03/2020 3:50PM

I may or may not have done the grain infused grape concoction in trash can ** -- ColoVT82 04/03/2020 4:39PM

No I get that, I knew without antibody test no way to definitely know -- HokieForever 04/03/2020 3:07PM

No way to know since we don't know how many recovered...

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