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Beerman

Joined: 08/14/1998 Posts: 15797
Likes: 2053


There are roughly 50 million Americans over age 65


In a true herd immunity scenario, nearly everyone would become infected.

Right now the case mortality rate for olds is something in the neighborhood of 2% for those over 65, 5% over 70, and nearing 15% for over 80. If you want to be very generous and say all of those numbers are high, and that the majority of olds are closer to 65 than 80, let's go with a blanket 2% fatality rate.

2% * 50 million = 1 million dead old people.

And that's with generous rates, and entirely ignoring anyone under the age of 65.

(In response to this post by fordham)

Posted: 07/01/2020 at 1:42PM



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