All Hokie, All the Time. Period. Presented by

The Lounge Board

ElbertoHokie

Joined: 01/01/2005 Posts: 8170
Likes: 4099


So a lot of people are comparing this to the flu


but I saw a great explanation on a bbc interview last night. That essentially, this is worse than the flu and people are freaking out BECAUSE right now, with the scant knowledge that has been collected, best case scenario is a fatality rate of 1.0% of those infected.

In 2018-2019, the flu was attributed to 34,200 deaths in the USA at a fatality rate of 0.1%. If you had a similar number of people infected with COVID-19, you'd expect 342,000 fatalities in the USA alone. That's if the 1.0% fatality rate is true, which they're not sure it is. If that increases to the 3.0% some speculate it may be then you're looking at 1,000,000 fatalities in the USA alone.

COVID-19 does not appear as infectious as the flu but we also have no vaccine to help against the infection like we do with the flu. Everyone is flying blind and our medical system can't handle 1,000,000 infectious disease fatalities let alone the people that they'd need to hospitalize that wouldn't die.

That's why they're freaking out and that's why they're shutting all large gatherings down. The places where they've had the most success containing the spread has been done with quarantines and social distancing(Singapore, China---once they got their response going, Hong Kong)

Posted: 03/11/2020 at 11:55AM



+4

Insert a Link

Enter the title of the link here:


Enter the full web address of the link here -- include the "http://" part:


Current Thread:
 
  
So a lot of people are comparing this to the flu -- ElbertoHokie 03/11/2020 11:55AM
  Just wait a week or two. It's coming ** -- 81_Hokie 03/11/2020 5:00PM
  What is your conclusion from that? ** -- bulab 03/11/2020 1:34PM
  My conclusion is different -- bulab 03/11/2020 1:45PM
  1. What change in actions have you made? -- GobbleGobble Hey 03/11/2020 2:03PM
  Answers inside -- bulab 03/11/2020 3:08PM
  You're really SQUEEZING out that joke attempt. ** -- Late 80s Hokie 03/11/2020 3:42PM
  Not really a matter of underreported -- MAHokie69 03/11/2020 12:57PM
  And we've got a wonky sample at this point -- JoesterVT 03/11/2020 12:21PM
  The initial cases in Germany were mostly ** -- bulab 03/11/2020 1:16PM
  ...mostly less than age 80 ** -- bulab 03/11/2020 1:18PM
  What are your implications from that? -- bulab 03/11/2020 12:59PM
  Yeah screw old people! I hope they die too! ** -- VTSnake 03/11/2020 12:44PM
  Good for you? -- VTSnake 03/11/2020 3:23PM
  Snake is an angry person. Always has been. ** -- RoswellGAHokie 03/11/2020 12:43PM
  I quibble about order of magnitude -- VTSnake 03/11/2020 12:42PM
  Of those 30, most were very old ** -- OXVT 03/11/2020 12:18PM
  They had it coming ? ** -- bigbadbird 03/11/2020 12:43PM
  Yep. That’s a stone cold lock. ** -- RoswellGAHokie 03/11/2020 12:10PM
  Case fatality rate varies from region to region -- bulab 03/11/2020 12:02PM

Tech Sideline is Presented By:

Our Sponsors

vm307