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jmanatVT

Joined: 01/17/2008 Posts: 6583
Likes: 1850


Granted, if you run the numbers from other countries, you might be right


but my point is that cases identified isn't the right denominator as if you aren't a recovery or a death, you are an unknown.

Calculated that way in the US, there are 31 deaths and 15 recoveries. (66%) I don't think that tells us that the method is bogus, just the sample size.

Switzerland is at 57% (4 deaths, 3 recoveries); same thing, ridiculous sample size.

Iran is 354 deaths and 2959 recoveries (10.5%)

Germany is 3 deaths and 25 recoveries ( 10.7%)

China is at 3,136 deaths and 59,913 recoveries (4.8%)

Japan is 19 deaths, 459 recoveries ( 4.0%)

Italy is at 631 deaths and 1004 recoveries (3.9%)

Spain is at 49 deaths and 183 recoveries (2%)



(In response to this post by jmanatVT)

Posted: 03/11/2020 at 1:11PM



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Current Thread:
 
  
So a lot of people are comparing this to the flu -- ElbertoHokie 03/11/2020 11:55AM
  Just wait a week or two. It's coming ** -- 81_Hokie 03/11/2020 5:00PM
  What is your conclusion from that? ** -- bulab 03/11/2020 1:34PM
  My conclusion is different -- bulab 03/11/2020 1:45PM
  1. What change in actions have you made? -- GobbleGobble Hey 03/11/2020 2:03PM
  Answers inside -- bulab 03/11/2020 3:08PM
  You're really SQUEEZING out that joke attempt. ** -- Late 80s Hokie 03/11/2020 3:42PM
  Not really a matter of underreported -- MAHokie69 03/11/2020 12:57PM
  And we've got a wonky sample at this point -- JoesterVT 03/11/2020 12:21PM
  The initial cases in Germany were mostly ** -- bulab 03/11/2020 1:16PM
  ...mostly less than age 80 ** -- bulab 03/11/2020 1:18PM
  What are your implications from that? -- bulab 03/11/2020 12:59PM
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  Good for you? -- VTSnake 03/11/2020 3:23PM
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  Yep. That’s a stone cold lock. ** -- RoswellGAHokie 03/11/2020 12:10PM
  Case fatality rate varies from region to region -- bulab 03/11/2020 12:02PM

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