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Joined: 08/21/2004 Posts: 5842
Likes: 1161

What's this?

It will last on surfaces, but my basic possibly incorrect understanding

is this:

If someone expels droplets near a surface, 100% of the droplets don't end up on the surface. So I then touch it, but 100% of what ended up on the surface doesn't end up on my hand. I then touch my face, but 100% of what I picked up doesn't end up getting into my mouth, eyes, or nose. So the potency of those original droplets goes down with every transfer, and as time progresses, the potency of those original droplets on the surface gets weaker and weaker. While it may last on steel for three days, what's there on the third day is a lot less prone to get someone sick than what's there on the first day. Meanwhile, if I'm near someone who is sick and shedding virus within a 6 foot radius of me, then I'm potentially breathing in a lot more of it because it's going direct from sicko to me. Hence, I'm more likely to catch the Rona. Doesn't mean I can't get it from surfaces, just that it's far more likely I got it directly from someone that was sick (symptomatic or asymptomatic).

Conclusion: if everyone would just wear something over their mouth and nose, wash their hands regularly, and we don't rub elbows, we could probably get the world moving again. There would still be new cases, but it would drop off steeply. However, all it takes is one person that refuses to play by the rules, and it all goes to heck.

Disclaimer: I am by no means a doctor, so do not live your life based on my assessment.

[Post edited by hokiemas at 05/21/2020 10:38AM]

(In response to this post by fordham)

Posted: 05/21/2020 at 10:28AM

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So know the CDC says covid 19 doesn’t spread easily -- GreenvilleVT 05/21/2020 09:55AM

Smiles, looks out window ** -- ColoVT82 05/21/2020 2:03PM

Surfaces touched by many are probably risky -- lchoro 05/21/2020 11:29AM

Which is how it has been since time began, just more people aware of it now ** -- fordham 05/21/2020 11:32AM

So we hammered the gyms for nothing ** -- bigbadbird 05/21/2020 11:22AM

Like the american populace is not already in great shape, shut the gyms -- fordham 05/21/2020 11:24AM

That's not surprising, it still has basic properties of a virus -- HokieAl 05/21/2020 11:11AM

That's not new, I remember reading that back in March. ** -- HokieNoVA 05/21/2020 10:36AM

Same here -- `lag 05/21/2020 11:05AM

Podcast on lockdowns -- two91hokies 05/21/2020 10:25AM

Part of the point of lockdowns is figure out what we're dealing with -- VTSnake 05/21/2020 10:54AM

Except the gov. can't force you to wear one but a private business -- fordham 05/21/2020 11:30AM

The point remains that many morons will continue to not wear masks ** -- VTSnake 05/21/2020 12:00PM

My completely unscientific opinion is that widespread adoption of mask... -- MP4VT2004 05/21/2020 10:44AM

That's been my opinion for a while now, but otoh continue to wear masks... -- `lag 05/21/2020 11:11AM

Yeah, mask wearing and no large gatherings seem increasingly... -- Gobbler-100 05/21/2020 10:29AM

Couldn’t disagree more. -- two91hokies 05/21/2020 11:44AM

Oh no, I agree that testing capacity will become less and less of a problem -- Gobbler-100 05/21/2020 12:20PM

This reversal is political, and we can't discuss that so I won't -- WestyHokie 05/21/2020 10:24AM

You're saying the earlier use of a massively flawed model wasn't political? -- EDGEMAN 05/21/2020 12:11PM

You just did. ** -- RTFC 05/21/2020 10:46AM

What I have said from the beginning is it may be present but is it viable -- fordham 05/21/2020 10:30AM

I actually read a study from the early 2000's that concluded a Covid-strain -- Tafkam Hokie 05/21/2020 11:02AM

You can discuss it here if you must -- Brown Water 05/21/2020 10:27AM

But is it true? ** -- TomTurkey 05/21/2020 10:26AM

Which? Studies done early on with no pressure, or the reversal now? -- WestyHokie 05/21/2020 10:30AM

Yes. Which one is true? Politics be damned. ** -- TomTurkey 05/21/2020 10:35AM

Is anything true? I am starting to question that. ** -- vt90 05/21/2020 10:28AM

Exactly. Quote from Grandpa "Zeb" Walton yesterday. -- TomTurkey 05/21/2020 10:34AM

"There are no truths, only stories" my favorite. ** -- `lag 05/21/2020 11:28AM

Cite/link? ** -- ModerateHokie 05/21/2020 10:09AM

Here you go. -- GreenvilleVT 05/21/2020 10:12AM

Thx ** -- ModerateHokie 05/21/2020 10:20AM

Yep - this one was all over everywhere yesterday. ** -- PhotoHokieNC 05/21/2020 10:16AM

The MSM had it as one of the lead stories yesterday -- fordham 05/21/2020 10:10AM

It will last on surfaces, but my basic possibly incorrect understanding -- hokiemas 05/21/2020 10:28AM

But this is correct -- `lag 05/21/2020 10:44AM

So I guess I'm basically right. Over time, what's on the surface is less -- hokiemas 05/21/2020 10:47AM

What if you don't know you're sick? ** -- Hokie360 05/21/2020 10:08AM

If everyone wears a mask, the ones that don't know they're sick are covered ** -- hokiemas 05/21/2020 10:33AM

Certainly a possibility but you should quarantine as -- GreenvilleVT 05/21/2020 10:13AM

By then, you could have infected others, so no ** -- WestyHokie 05/21/2020 10:23AM

If you’re at risk take precautions while those who don’t wear mask build -- Hoakie82 05/21/2020 11:16AM

But at least you minimize infections if you stay -- GreenvilleVT 05/21/2020 10:30AM

Learning more about this virus every day, this is certainly good news. ** -- 4dhokies 05/21/2020 10:07AM

I'm not sure we didn't already know this... -- `lag 05/21/2020 10:28AM

What am I going to do with these pallets of Lysol wipes I've been hoarding? -- MP4VT2004 05/21/2020 10:00AM

Use them as toilet paper when the next wave of hoarding hits ... -- vt90 05/21/2020 10:10AM

That's easy for you people with outhouses to say. ** -- PhotoHokieNC 05/21/2020 10:15AM

Great, has the Sun been put on lockdown, too? ** -- MP4VT2004 05/21/2020 10:15AM

Not yet but people WAY smarter than us are looking at the -- vt90 05/21/2020 10:20AM

Leave your garage door open. ** -- PhotoHokieNC 05/21/2020 10:06AM

Wipe down other people. ** -- GreenvilleVT 05/21/2020 10:02AM

But what about the 6 foot radius? ** -- turkeywinghokie 05/21/2020 10:25AM

Use a long stick. ** -- GreenvilleVT 05/21/2020 10:31AM

It will last on surfaces, but my basic possibly incorrect understanding

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