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Joined: 05/21/2003 Posts: 53682
Likes: 16977

What's this?

Does it now? WHY is total number of deaths vs total population ->

not a good way (as good as any other) for figuring the odds of a person in the US of dying from the virus.

I "get" that the metric changes with age, location, pre-existing condition etc, but the overall number is the overall odds it seems to me.

You can (and maybe even should) factor in deaths only with confirmed cases, but that is a different metric.

What about total population vs total number of cases? Again, there are variables, but why is that not a way for me to figure odds of actually contracting th virus.

I asked and posted it that way, and posed it as a question to get a legit answer, NIT to be put down as stupid or pushing some agenda...but thanks anyway! Maybe someone else will help me understand all these numbers floating around!

(In response to this post by AbsolutVT03)

Posted: 07/08/2020 at 6:51PM

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Keeping Pandemic data in perspective is important. Context informs -- ColoVT82 07/08/2020 2:48PM

And yet, docs in AZ and TX are "losing hope" -- WestyHokie 07/08/2020 7:15PM

Didn't the same docs lose hope in NYC? ** -- fordham 07/09/2020 10:40AM

Unicorns! I knew it. Bastiges. ** -- TomTurkey 07/08/2020 3:43PM

Deleted - sorry I just can't anymore lol** -- Gobbler-100 07/08/2020 2:59PM

Only so many times you can bang your head against the wall ** -- VTSnake 07/08/2020 3:35PM

It does bring on galaxy brainedness, that's for sure. ** -- PhotoHokieNC 07/08/2020 3:46PM

Is the chart wrong? ** -- fordham 07/08/2020 3:23PM

Challenged? ** -- PhotoHokieNC 07/08/2020 3:17PM

Also before you declare "Mission accomplished" -- Vippie1 07/08/2020 3:15PM

Georgia cases have been steadily increasing since May 15. Deaths steadily -- RoswellGAHokie 07/08/2020 3:58PM

Yep. ** -- ColoVT82 07/08/2020 8:02PM

How many predicted horrors have materialized? Let's plot that, too. ** -- PhotoHokieNC 07/08/2020 3:17PM

Well, 135K have died and only about 1% of the US has tested positive. ** -- TJ Hokie 07/08/2020 4:14PM

You have to be joking, everyone knows that the confirmed number test -- fordham 07/08/2020 5:38PM

A 4% of total cases mortality rate. March 13 it was 84%. -- PhotoHokieNC 07/08/2020 4:23PM

4% is catastrophically bad. ** -- TJ Hokie 07/08/2020 5:12PM

How’d you live through the 84% era? ** -- PhotoHokieNC 07/08/2020 5:15PM

You mean when there were like 5 cases? ;) ** -- TJ Hokie 07/08/2020 5:17PM

OK, here are actually catastrophic mortality rates - -- PhotoHokieNC 07/08/2020 5:20PM

Kind of apples to oranges depending on the disease. Ebola is much more -- AbsolutVT03 07/08/2020 6:16PM

It was just a list. ** -- PhotoHokieNC 07/09/2020 05:21AM

I know. I just wanted to comment on some of the things I found interesting ** -- AbsolutVT03 07/09/2020 09:53AM

Thanks -- TJ Hokie 07/08/2020 5:39PM

135,000 out of 328,000,000 = 0.00041.. Doesn't mean it isnpt-> -- HOKIERIT 07/08/2020 5:00PM

This is a ridiculous way to calculate this. It doesn't provide any kind of -- AbsolutVT03 07/08/2020 5:58PM

So damn triggered all the time. Stop being such a child and lashing out. ** -- psychobilly 07/08/2020 10:49PM

Thanks for contributing to the discussion. Very insightful. I’d -- AbsolutVT03 07/09/2020 09:03AM

The same reason as why people list positives with no context that -> -- HOKIERIT 07/08/2020 6:33PM

Sorry but no. Taking the number of deaths and the number of confirmed -- AbsolutVT03 07/08/2020 6:43PM

Does it now? WHY is total number of deaths vs total population -> -- HOKIERIT 07/08/2020 6:51PM

The only agenda I'm pushing is one against ignorance. It should be obvious -- AbsolutVT03 07/08/2020 7:05PM

Might be too sisyphean.** -- PhotoHokieNC 07/09/2020 05:23AM

That's not how you calculate mortality rate - but you knew that -- Baltimore Hokie 07/08/2020 5:15PM

Is total death divided by total population NOT accurate. Which of the-> -- HOKIERIT 07/08/2020 6:38PM

I gave you two better ways above. Case Fatality Rate and Infection -- AbsolutVT03 07/08/2020 7:11PM

OK..thank you for providing context for me. I know what i did -> -- HOKIERIT 07/08/2020 7:51PM

What about the number of COVID deaths divided by anyone who has ever lived -- AbsolutVT03 07/08/2020 6:01PM

Maybe you think you are being funny ridiculing people who have -> -- HOKIERIT 07/08/2020 6:53PM

I don't think ignorance is funny. Your calculation is not a "different -- AbsolutVT03 07/08/2020 7:07PM

As are you..we all have our own biases ** -- HOKIERIT 07/08/2020 7:54PM

It's still early grasshopper. -- Stork 07/08/2020 3:43PM

Lots of time its had to spread...as i analyzed last week, current thing im -- ColoVT82 07/08/2020 3:52PM

Get back with us July 18th-ish. 2 weeks or so after 4th of July -- Stork 07/08/2020 4:09PM

What's coincidental about the start of the current spike is that... -- MP4VT2004 07/08/2020 4:39PM

What will we be looking at then? Not asking for a prediction, just a -- PhotoHokieNC 07/08/2020 4:13PM

Spike. I realize you want dead bodies in the street to prove -- Stork 07/08/2020 4:13PM

Nah, NYC beat us to that punch months ago. Probably still. ** -- PhotoHokieNC 07/08/2020 4:15PM

Refrigerated tractor trailers was such a nice place for grandma & grandpa. ** -- Stork 07/08/2020 4:17PM

They'd never had AC in the city ever before. ** -- PhotoHokieNC 07/08/2020 4:23PM

Lots of whistlin' by the graveyard, yes. Maybe the most -- PhotoHokieNC 07/08/2020 3:50PM

Without a deaths per million context, it wouldn't be a pandemic. What -- PhotoHokieNC 07/08/2020 3:08PM

Does it now? WHY is total number of deaths vs total population ->

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