I think you slightly contradict yourself here
I don't think it has to be in writing for ND to change. If it appears to recruits that ND has no chance at championship (it always goes to conference champs, and recognize the memories of 17-18 year old kids) then you are right - recruiting will suffer and thus so will ND's relative success and future chances at the CFP.
If they get denied the playoff with a 11-1 record - younger, average, millenial fans will ask why? they want it now. Let's just join a conference. Many of that age group don't care how it was done the last xx years.
I realize that is not the attitude of most current ND fans - and respect that - but it will slowly change or ND will slowly become much less relevant.
ND making the CFP in the next few years changes this equation. So if you are a ND fan that values indy, sell out everything to make the CFP very soon.
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In response to this post by Old Line Hokie)
Posted: 09/20/2016 at 2:55PM