I tried...too many variables right now.
From TV contracts, to geography, to eligibility rules.
KSU, OSU, TT, TCU, Baylor, ISU, and maybe even WVU may not be able to be competitive in revenue sports, especially football, in other conferences. They all benefit from the Big 12's VERY liberal rules (no limit) regarding HS non-qualifiers. The notion that they will go to a new home and be as successful as they have before is an untested theory.
Oklahoma's deal with Fox runs thru 2022, iirc. So timing is a factor there.
I think the PAC is seemingly in the best position to shape the overall outcome because of their network flexibility. But geography and school budgets are a big factors for non-revenue sports. Their best geographic fits are in Colorado and Utah.
I am most comfortable predicting Baylor is out of the P level if the Big 12 dissolves. They are small, private and unmanageable; a flagship of hypocrisy.
Whoever offers OSU a home gets Oklahoma; likewise for KSU/Kansas and maybe even TT/UT.
I think ISU and TCU go to the Mountain West. Texas Tech may as well if they can't tag along with UT.
Under your ND scenario, WVU goes to the ACC. But I think ND and Navy go to the ACC in 2025.
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In response to this post by Stech)
Posted: 07/09/2017 at 10:09AM