Here is a good simulation of spread

The Washington Post provided a good simulation of the spread looking at different degrees of social distance or sheltering at home. No paywall. Gives a good idea at how the goal of flattening works

In response to this post by Hokie360

Posted: 03/25/2020 at 7:22PM

Help me understand Covid-19 and the "peak" everyone keeps referencing on tv -- VTFuzz 03/25/2020 6:05PM

...Peakin’... -- chumley 03/25/2020 8:03PM

Could the fact that our testing has really ramped up be the reason... -- EDGEMAN 03/25/2020 7:35PM

I don't quite get this line of reasoning -- Beerman 03/25/2020 8:36PM

Surprised you read that into my simple post. -- EDGEMAN 03/25/2020 9:33PM

As I understand the concept... -- Vienna_Hokie 03/25/2020 6:42PM

Okay, will try. -- ColoVT82 03/25/2020 6:35PM

The implementation of social distancing is not a step function. While some -- Hokie360 03/25/2020 6:13PM

Here is a good simulation of spread -- Flemington Hokie 03/25/2020 7:22PM

Yep, I've read this article before (more) -- VTFuzz 03/26/2020 06:39AM

Well, the number of new cases is a function of two things -- jmanatVT 03/26/2020 09:38AM

So you're saying that those that did not distance will increase the spread? -- VTFuzz 03/25/2020 6:32PM

The "weeks prior" are just catching up. -- TomTurkey 03/25/2020 8:24PM

How is it catching up if the symptom period is 2-14 days? Average is 5.5? -- VTFuzz 03/26/2020 06:46AM

Something like half of America will get it -- Beerman 03/25/2020 8:15PM

You nailed the key point there. We do not want a situation like Italy where -- localhokiekid 03/25/2020 9:00PM

Here is a good simulation of spread

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