I've never served in the military, but I am a consultant for the DoD. I'd

say almost 0%.

Enough countries have nuclear capability that it would be impossible to enter a WW3 without ending the world. Everyone knows that, and they act accordingly. So, even if there was an assassination of a modern-day Archduke Franz Ferdinand or Gulf of Tonkin event, then it would be fought in a proxy war.

The only way I can see it is if one of the major actors just hit us in a Pearl Harbor type of attack. China is too smart to do that. The hubbub in the South China Sea is just saber rattling. They know what side of the bread is buttered.

Russia is the only one crazy and stupid enough to do it. If their economy tanks, which is possible with fossil fuels going the way of the dinosaur, then their hand will be forced. They'll have to start seizing land and nationalizing industry. That's my biggest concern.

I just don't think that countries are committed enough to Israel to start WW3 over Islamic countries punching them in the throat. Well, I'm not willing for the world to end if that happens. But, you never know.
[Post edited by CochraneResident at 05/27/2019 10:53AM]

(In response to this post by bourbonstreet)

Posted: 05/27/2019 at 10:52AM

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Military peeps: two Q's: o-100%: ...what are the odds WW3 pops off -- bourbonstreet 05/27/2019 01:18AM

Case could be made that 9/11 / Iraq / Afghanistan / other ops -- Hokie1992 05/28/2019 06:57AM

I've never served in the military, but I am a consultant for the DoD. I'd -- CochraneResident 05/27/2019 10:52AM

...interesting takes on Ruso' and Israel. hmmmm... 1. if Putin gets -- bourbonstreet 05/27/2019 3:59PM

Yeah, MAD. If that happens, I want to be the first one hit... -- `lag 05/27/2019 1:08PM

I thought fossil fuels came from dinosaurs, but that's beside the point. -- PhotoHokieNC 05/27/2019 11:22AM

"they got too big and fat, so they all died and they turned into oil" -- bourbonstreet 05/27/2019 4:17PM

The question is do the theocrats believe their shtick or not -- Vienna_Hokie 05/27/2019 11:20AM

Most sane countries believe that, and are responsible with their nukes -- EDGEMAN 05/27/2019 11:08AM

If you look back at history especially since our escapade in Iraq -- vt_mughal 05/27/2019 2:23PM

Sounds like you aren't aware Iran is the world's leader in state... -- EDGEMAN 05/27/2019 4:36PM

Also, dont know how the "Mahdi" plays into this exchange,but Muslims belive -- vt_mughal 05/28/2019 09:59AM

The word Terrorist has become a cheap moniker to label any brown person -- vt_mughal 05/28/2019 09:44AM

Question, do you think they believe that or use it to control the masses? -- Vienna_Hokie 05/27/2019 4:57PM

I think the people are a very sane group, but their religious leaders are.. -- EDGEMAN 05/28/2019 09:31AM

100% because it has already started -- Vienna_Hokie 05/27/2019 10:45AM

Snap! helluva a post. "proxy war" going into Ginko Gland, now---> -- bourbonstreet 05/27/2019 3:46PM

Russia thrives on world chaos, china plays the long game, west economic -- Vienna_Hokie 05/27/2019 4:45PM

Wars are started by just a few people -- HokieAl 05/27/2019 09:45AM

If "pops off" means starts, then it seems like a really casual way of -- vt_mughal 05/27/2019 09:44AM

Read this one years ago -- TomTurkey 05/27/2019 08:09AM

I've never served in the military, but I am a consultant for the DoD. I'd

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