me offer some ray (glimmer?) of hope.

Yesterday, something momentous occurred during the c19 conference. Both Fauci and Birx (as well as the CDC) say we have 10x as many have had c19 as were tested.

We've known since the cruise ships back in February that there must be some cross immunity in the general population. The exact % is unk. There are an increasing # of studies coming out on this subj.

Herd suppression is ~67% for a bug with R(naught) of 3.

World wide, community spread once 20% of population has had it is not in evidence. The bug fire burns out. This suggests a reasonable cross immunity rate of 40-50%.

NYC has recorded ~400k positives. Multiply by 10x, that's 4M....almost 20% of the metro area population. Many other states are close to NYC #s as %of population....

Now, looking at Florida, 115K positives, 1.15M likely (per cdc) that's about 5.4% of the population. Still a bit to go to reach 20%. There will be continued rise in cases. Same kind of situation in Texas.

During the c19 task force telecast, both Fauci and Birx admitted to the 10x...

This is pretty big.

For those still with me, there is another pony in the data. One I can't begin to explain. In general terms, The state's that shut down the hardest and longest are closer to herd immunity than those that opened early. Thats a head scratcher.

I expect the usual push back. I'm just studying the #s...