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Joined: 10/07/1999 Posts: 15853
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Here is the issue with reopening (and with schools)

The data from early in this showed infections were spread across age groups somewhat evenly. And as time has gone on, the percent of positive cases for the older age groups (50+) has actually gone down as people have gone through quarantine and other preventative measures.

Where I think people should focus more is that the growth in the positive cases for the younger generations is not about the death impact. It is about the impact of spreading. The younger generations are acting as super spreaders, and they will keep this virus alive during the usual low risk season (based on flu virus known patterns) and cause a bloom in the older generations in the fall. Add on the layer that the younger generations have a lot of service jobs and it provides more opportunity for them to spread it. Yes the deaths are down right now, but almost half the country is not in that "young" demographic and is at risk of consequences from the open behavior.

[Post edited by HokieAl at 07/08/2020 1:36PM]

(In response to this post by LaneRat)

Posted: 07/08/2020 at 1:29PM

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Current Thread:

Since April there have been dire predictions that "open" states... -- LaneRat 07/08/2020 1:04PM

Age demographics are driving mortality rate down -- PineyGladeHokie 07/08/2020 2:23PM

Per report today the age that has the most positive in FL is 21 -- fordham 07/08/2020 1:49PM

Some of those "open" states are also seeing spikes in cases. The concern -- AbsolutVT03 07/08/2020 1:41PM

It was clearly stated when states started re-opening that cases would rise -- vt90 07/08/2020 1:56PM

It's like you didn't even read my post. ** -- AbsolutVT03 07/08/2020 1:57PM

I did - just responding to the 'spikes in cases' ... -- vt90 07/08/2020 2:01PM

Not only the nursing homes and hospice. We've learned how to treat it too -- EDGEMAN 07/08/2020 2:26PM

My point was that the concern is the spike in cases will lead to a spike in -- AbsolutVT03 07/08/2020 2:05PM

The hospitalization issue appears to be isolated to some parts of Texas, .. -- vt90 07/08/2020 2:12PM

Being optimistic is fine although I take issue with you trying to -- AbsolutVT03 07/08/2020 2:15PM

That wasn't my intent and didn't mean to infer that you were in that ... -- vt90 07/08/2020 2:17PM

No worries. I'm less worried about the spike in cases than I am in certain -- AbsolutVT03 07/08/2020 2:25PM

Agree - let's see if the hot spots can be addressed. Fingers crossed. ** -- vt90 07/08/2020 2:27PM

The age group in the spike are not likely to have complications or die from -- fordham 07/08/2020 1:51PM

And your explanation for hospitals starting to hit capacity is? I'm not -- AbsolutVT03 07/08/2020 1:56PM

They arent ** -- ColoVT82 07/08/2020 2:41PM

Where do get your "facts"? ** -- Vippie1 07/08/2020 2:58PM

So state officials are lying? I thought you were about "seeking the truth" -- AbsolutVT03 07/08/2020 2:44PM

Hospitals normally run the icu at 90%+ capacity, you do realize that not -- fordham 07/08/2020 2:15PM

Did I say anything that remotely implied that I thought "every human that -- AbsolutVT03 07/08/2020 2:20PM

It's a common assumption that is being perpetuated through exclusion... -- Burruss Writer 07/08/2020 4:19PM

But is 10-20% of an ICU dedicated to ONE illness a lot? I would think so -- AbsolutVT03 07/08/2020 6:05PM

Care to elaborate on that last sentence? ** -- AbsolutVT03 07/08/2020 1:30PM

Might find some clues following the $$ ** -- LaneRat 07/08/2020 1:46PM

So no? Why be cryptic instead of simply coming out and saying what your -- AbsolutVT03 07/08/2020 1:47PM

Here is the issue with reopening (and with schools) -- HokieAl 07/08/2020 1:29PM

And some other interesting age based graphs -- HokieAl 07/08/2020 1:32PM

Apparently I'm not good at adding multiple pics to single post -- HokieAl 07/08/2020 1:33PM

Or a different view of this last one -- HokieAl 07/08/2020 1:35PM

Dr. Birx literally just said that they are finding that children RARELY ... -- vt90 07/08/2020 1:31PM

That doesn't mean children can't spread it. It just means that right now -- HokieAl 07/08/2020 1:45PM

Interesting take. It does seem like it would be difficult to pinpoint the -- AbsolutVT03 07/08/2020 1:52PM

I see kids playing with other kids all over my neighborhood every day ... -- vt90 07/08/2020 1:50PM

"Most of those under 25 that contract COVID are asymptomatic and basically -- AbsolutVT03 07/08/2020 2:01PM

Wonder if young adults are spreading it via other bodily fluids -- Teewinot 07/08/2020 4:19PM

Several European countries have found that in their research. -- EDGEMAN 07/08/2020 1:43PM

Source is states own dashboard? Notoriously inaccurate. -- Hokebury 07/08/2020 1:26PM

JHU uses the state dashboards -- LaneRat 07/08/2020 1:45PM

Yet you would never know this from the news. Sigh ** -- HokieHutch 07/08/2020 1:24PM

not gonna lie, i had to google chicanery ** -- kingofcassell 07/08/2020 1:15PM

That's the factory where they put vital energy into containers, right? ** -- MP4VT2004 07/08/2020 1:56PM

Lots of us reached that conclusion weeeeeks ago. ** -- BobG 07/08/2020 1:11PM

Yep. Numbers don't lie ... people do. ** -- vt90 07/08/2020 1:21PM

Here is the issue with reopening (and with schools)

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