I'm not sure the lockdown had anything to do with the delay in waves

Arizona had one of the first cases in the US -- an ASU student who had just returned from Wuhan. Yet the cases didn't spike till the summer. The simplest explanation is that everyone in Arizona is outdoors in the winter. Only when they started staying indoors for long periods of time in May/June did the cases start to spike. Similar with all the warm weather states--Florida, Texas, southern California.

Basically, I think all the stuff every government tried or didn't try had basically zero effect. This thing was going to rip through sooner or later.

In response to this post by vthokieq

Posted: 08/13/2020 at 1:30PM

My guess is Covid is basically over -- bulab 08/13/2020 12:40PM

Correct - Only took 100K+ excess deaths that there may be herd immunity -- armyhokie88 08/13/2020 6:38PM

Heard on TV today that the "mother of all virus rebounds" coming this fall. -- MikeVT85 08/13/2020 5:49PM

Thanks bulab - you've been a voice of reason through all this ** -- Technocrat 08/13/2020 5:20PM

It'll spread through the air conditioning -- lchoro 08/13/2020 4:23PM

Legionnaires’ disease? ** -- PhotoHokieNC 08/13/2020 5:15PM

That's what New Zealand thought.... -- UTPr0sim 08/13/2020 4:16PM

New Zealand never had the wave -- they'll get one now -- bulab 08/13/2020 4:24PM

In the past 7 days the US has had 8,793 deaths noted as Covid related -- HokieAl 08/13/2020 2:07PM

None of that actually contradicts what bulab saud -- Beerman 08/13/2020 4:43PM

Not all occured over past 7 days. Legacy deaths being logged. ** -- ColoVT82 08/13/2020 2:44PM

Right but that means that some deaths this week are NOT being counted yet -- SteveInBaltimore 08/13/2020 4:04PM

I'm getting my data from the same people that log the flu deaths. ** -- HokieAl 08/13/2020 3:15PM

What he said- the Washington Post has been conflating the numbers -- WestEndHokie39 08/13/2020 3:05PM

We're currently living with multiple Corona viruses, so C-19 will just join -- EDGEMAN 08/13/2020 2:31PM

The flu is not "a form of coronavirus". ** -- vthokieq 08/13/2020 2:14PM

You're right. I'm mixing up past research on that. Thanks ** -- HokieAl 08/13/2020 2:41PM

It's in the biome now...just floating out there with the rest of the bugs. ** -- Major Kong 08/13/2020 1:28PM

Inshallah ** -- typed by ben 08/13/2020 1:09PM

This will play itself out in the next few months.... -- vthokieq 08/13/2020 1:08PM

Smooth, Will... ** -- BobG 08/13/2020 1:57PM

I'm not sure the lockdown had anything to do with the delay in waves -- bulab 08/13/2020 1:30PM

Shutting down early seems to align more with later spikes than weather -- Vienna_Hokie 08/13/2020 2:48PM

I'd say it certainly played a part somewhat. -- vthokieq 08/13/2020 1:39PM

I am cautiously optimistic that places like NY, FL, AZ, etc will not see -- hokiemas 08/13/2020 1:20PM

I hope the draw downs you note are due to effect of tcell xresistance and -- ColoVT82 08/13/2020 2:50PM

What? Good common sense on the Lounge? 2020 is crazy. ** -- RTFC 08/13/2020 1:42PM

Agreed- nice summary... ** -- WestEndHokie39 08/13/2020 1:29PM

Agree ** -- vthokieq 08/13/2020 1:22PM

If it is it will still -- YardBird 08/13/2020 1:00PM

Sounds like the XYZ hypothesis somewhat. Basically, the video below -- hokiemas 08/13/2020 12:58PM

I think you'll still see cases of C-19 for the next year. -- EDGEMAN 08/13/2020 1:49PM

It makes me think “everywhere” needs to get hit with a wave and then its -- BG Hokie 08/13/2020 6:02PM

I'm not sure the lockdown had anything to do with the delay in waves

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