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lawhokie

Joined: 01/04/2001 Posts: 22000
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So you think Notre Dame might lose a coach because of playoff access?


I suppose all schools in the SEC West not named Alabama, Auburn, or LSU will be losing coaches shortly. What are the odds you can get past those to behemoths, AND win the SEC championship game? It hasn't happened in the history of the SECCG. The fact is that unless you are Nick Saban, your chance at a playoff spot as an SEC coach is less than 10%. Do you think Brian Kelly would take a 10-1 bet that the Irish make the playoff this year? I would. Take a look at the Notre Dame custom-made schedule.

On the flipside, no school besides UT, Georgia and Florida in the SEC East has won the SEC, with only UT and UF in a position worthy of playoff consideration. Playoff odds are pretty bleak for the remainder.

No coach with an agent with half a brain will steer his client away from Notre Dame because of a lack of the mythical 'clear path to the playoff'. Where would Kelly go? Georgia? Plenty of dough there but I like my chances MUCH better at Notre Dame.

The fact is that the P5 are dominated by a select group of powerhouses - followed by everybody else. A coach's odds of a playoff appearance even at powerhouses like Nebraska, Florida, Georgia, and Penn State are terrible. How many of those schools come as close to theoretical eligibility as does Notre Dame?

I just do not see a coach leaving Notre Dame because of a feared playoff snub. Money? Sure. Playoffs? Not so much. If an opening at one of the true powerhouses comes Kelly might leave, but why would he get into the trenches with LSU, Auburn, Arkansas, Tennessee, Florida, Georgia et al when he can play a schedule assembled at Swarbrick's discretion? Have you seen the 2016 Irish schedule?



[Post edited by lawhokie at 06/14/2016 9:29PM]

(In response to this post by Stech)

Posted: 06/14/2016 at 9:29PM


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Current Thread:
 
  ESPN article: Why Notre Dame could cause major CFP headaches -- TerryD 06/14/2016 2:49PM
  Kelly makes a BS claim about other teams playing 11 -- YardBird 06/20/2016 2:11PM
  It might be decades, if ever, till we find out if an undefeated ND team... -- Maroon Baboon 06/15/2016 10:32AM
  Totally respect Swarbrick for that statement. However, Dinich and Kelly -- daveinop 06/15/2016 08:51AM
  Performance in the December Championship Game motivates the committee. -- HOO86 06/15/2016 10:32AM
  Baylor 2014 had a terrible OOC. They were not top 4 in old BCS formula -- Colonel Jessup 06/15/2016 11:29AM
  That's the argument ND makes. Jeff Long explains what I said. -- HOO86 06/15/2016 2:04PM
  Good comments. But CFP criteria -- East Cobb Hokie 06/15/2016 11:34AM
  If Notre Dame schedules Alabama in week 12.... -- lawhokie 06/15/2016 11:28AM
  As to your other theory about SOS v. CCG -- crabcake77 06/15/2016 12:14PM
  Suggest everyone read this ^^^^^ link. ** -- East Cobb Hokie 06/15/2016 1:26PM
  Why would Bama ever schedule that game over the iron bowl? -- crabcake77 06/15/2016 12:15PM
  What if Notre Dame had beaten Clemson? -- lawhokie 06/15/2016 10:20AM
  I think Stanford replaces Clemson. ND lost to them late. ND wasn't -- daveinop 06/15/2016 10:28AM
  Possible but I'd see Notre Dame over Stanford there... -- lawhokie 06/15/2016 10:42AM
  Again, conferences own the playoffs. -- crabcake77 06/15/2016 12:24PM
  But if ND is a legit top 4, they aren't going to get screwed. -- Maroon Baboon 06/15/2016 9:23PM
  ND schedule: 3 away games (Texas, NC State, & USC). 3 "neutral" -- manassashoo 06/15/2016 08:09AM
  Playing the defending P12 and B1G champions might help a little -- lawhokie 06/15/2016 08:52AM
  If ND would have won @Clemson, clearly they would have went over Clemson -- Maroon Baboon 06/15/2016 10:14AM
  They probably would not have gone in over Stanford. -- daveinop 06/15/2016 10:40AM
  OSU played only two ranked teams and lost one of those games -- lawhokie 06/15/2016 11:33AM
  So this is the language guiding the selection -- daveinop 06/15/2016 2:51PM
  Simple solution. Go undefeated. Problem solved. ** -- TerryD 06/15/2016 2:59PM
  Not so fast my friend. Gotta assume -- East Cobb Hokie 06/15/2016 5:45PM
  William & Mary was a top D1A program. Beat every Va school for apx 5 years, -- Stech 06/14/2016 8:26PM
  No disrespect meant. -- Maroon Doom 06/14/2016 10:02PM
  Comparing Notre Dame to Billy & Mary? -- Old Line Hokie 06/14/2016 9:27PM
  So you think Notre Dame might lose a coach because of playoff access? -- lawhokie 06/14/2016 9:29PM
  Agree. But 18 year old talent would be influenced. -- East Cobb Hokie 06/15/2016 1:34PM
  His point is over time that it will be harder for ND to compete not -- ColumbusHokie 06/15/2016 07:34AM
  Looks pretty tough to me. -- ChrisLords 06/15/2016 01:56AM
  Two 'tough' road games UT (5-7), USC (8-6) in 2015 -- lawhokie 06/15/2016 08:19AM
  This is the pecking order: -- Maroon Baboon 06/14/2016 6:51PM
  I bet Notre Dame was proud of all of their -- Bashful Baron 06/14/2016 5:05PM
  Re: ESPN article: Why Notre Dame could cause major CFP headaches -- SoCloseHokie 06/14/2016 4:11PM
  Exactly. It will be a steeper ascent IMO -- East Cobb Hokie 06/14/2016 4:58PM

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